Supply Planning

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Woman data analytics at computer in Kenya
Woman data analytics at computer in Kenya
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Photo Credit: USAID Kenya
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Globally and nationally, the USAID Global Health Supply Chain Program-Procurement and Supply Management (GHSC-PSM) project uses and promotes advanced quantification methods to improve forecasts and provide suppliers and managers with more accurate information to plan their production and deliveries, which helps countries avoid stockouts and product waste through expiration. Consolidating supply chains from multiple countries also allows for bulk purchasing and drives down commodity costs.

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Global Demand Forecasts
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Our Plan team creates global demand forecasts for USAID’s procurement of various health commodity types based on historical information, public health indicators, market-shaping initiatives, international donor activities, and statistical modeling. Our experts monitor global consumption patterns and supply to take corrective steps in forecasting and communicating demand risks.

The Automated Requisition Tracking Management Information System (ARTMIS) has an integrated tool for optimized supply planning.

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National Forecasts & Quantification
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Our experts work with government agencies, public- and private-sector organizations, and other donors to improve demand forecasts using a variety of tools and data sources. This coordination helps ensure shipments are planned, scheduled, and monitored for continuity of product availability.

National quantification exercises inform international donor spending and ministry of health commodity requirements for individual countries.

Forthcoming are GHSC-PSM guidance documents and standard operating procedures for country-level forecasting and supply planning of various commodity types.

News & Highlights

News Article
June 20, 2020
The End-User Verification (EUV) Survey is a tool that captures facility-level stock data for GHSC-PSM and PMI in 16 countries. Our country teams are the heartbeat of the EUV, so we have recently established an EUV Working Group (EUV WG) to ensure we capture the needs, experience and insights of our…
Success Stories
June 15, 2020
In 2018, Guinea’s Ministry of Health (MOH) demonstrated its commitment to evidence-based decision making for health commodities by initiating the roll-out of a nationwide electronic logistics management information system (eLMIS) for a broad range of health programs. With technical and training…
Success Stories
May 28, 2020
Seasonal malaria chemoprevention (SMC) campaigns are a key tool for many developing countries to prevent malaria in children under 5 years of age. SMC relies on four monthly doses of sulfadoxine/pyrimethamine and amodiaquine (SPAQ) for young children in preparation for rainy seasons in areas of…

Success Stories

June 17, 2020
In 2018, Guinea’s Ministry of Health (MOH) demonstrated its commitment to evidence-based decision making for health commodities by initiating the roll-out of a nationwide electronic logistics management information system (eLMIS) for a broad range of health programs. With technical and training…
May 28, 2020
Seasonal malaria chemoprevention (SMC) campaigns are a key tool for many developing countries to prevent malaria in children under 5 years of age. SMC relies on four monthly doses of sulfadoxine/pyrimethamine and amodiaquine (SPAQ) for young children in preparation for rainy seasons in areas of…
February 20, 2020
Botswana has set ambitious goals for controlling the HIV/AIDS epidemic and ensuring people living with HIV (PLHIV) have uninterrupted access to the treatment they need.