A black swan event is an unpredictable and extremely rare episode with severe systematic consequences. These events, such as the global COVID-19 pandemic, cause dual shocks to the world’s supply chain that involve both origination and destination as both suppliers and end users are impacted, sending everyone scrambling to leverage the same limited resources. This guide uses scenario mapping—predicting what might happen in the future and how your program/supply chain might operate—to help decision makers plan for recovery from the consequences of the pandemic and other catastrophic events, weigh the information and advice they have received and make informed decisions. The guide is also available in Spanish, Portuguese, and French.
For additional information, please listen to our three-part podcast, Unbroken: Forging Supply Chain Resilience. We hear from our Haiti country director and our supply chain architect.