Supply Planning

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Woman data analytics at computer in Kenya
Woman data analytics at computer in Kenya
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Photo Credit: USAID Kenya
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Globally and nationally, the USAID Global Health Supply Chain Program-Procurement and Supply Management (GHSC-PSM) project uses and promotes advanced quantification methods to improve forecasts and provide suppliers and managers with more accurate information to plan their production and deliveries, which helps countries avoid stockouts and product waste through expiration. Consolidating supply chains from multiple countries also allows for bulk purchasing and drives down commodity costs.

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Global Demand Forecasts
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Our Plan team creates global demand forecasts for USAID’s procurement of various health commodity types based on historical information, public health indicators, market-shaping initiatives, international donor activities, and statistical modeling. Our experts monitor global consumption patterns and supply to take corrective steps in forecasting and communicating demand risks.

The Automated Requisition Tracking Management Information System (ARTMIS) has an integrated tool for optimized supply planning.

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National Forecasts & Quantification
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Our experts work with government agencies, public- and private-sector organizations, and other donors to improve demand forecasts using a variety of tools and data sources. This coordination helps ensure shipments are planned, scheduled, and monitored for continuity of product availability.

National quantification exercises inform international donor spending and ministry of health commodity requirements for individual countries.

Forthcoming are GHSC-PSM guidance documents and standard operating procedures for country-level forecasting and supply planning of various commodity types.

News & Highlights

Success Stories
May 2, 2023
Sierra Leone’s health supply chain has been operating its logistics management of health commodities using the 2010 version of SOP Manual Logistics Management of Health Commodities. The Ministry of Health and Sanitation (MoHS) has adopted different structures, technologies, and tools to improve the…
Success Stories
April 6, 2023
Reaching the third 95 – viral load suppression of people living with HIV – can only be achieved by expanding viral load testing to improve treatment efficacy. In El Salvador, the Ministry of Health is reducing testing and waiting times for people living with HIV.     Through USAID and…
News Article
April 3, 2023
Immediately following Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in March 2022, the USAID Global Health Supply Chain Program-Procurement and Supply (GHSC-PSM) project responded to an urgent request for antiretrovirals (ARVs) from the Government of Ukraine to PEPFAR. More than 200,000 90-tablet bottles…

Success Stories

May 2, 2023
Sierra Leone’s health supply chain has been operating its logistics management of health commodities using the 2010 version of SOP Manual Logistics Management of Health Commodities. The Ministry of Health and Sanitation (MoHS) has adopted different structures, technologies, and tools to improve the…
April 6, 2023
Reaching the third 95 – viral load suppression of people living with HIV – can only be achieved by expanding viral load testing to improve treatment efficacy. In El Salvador, the Ministry of Health is reducing testing and waiting times for people living with HIV.     Through USAID and…
March 16, 2023
Accurately forecasting demand for lifesaving antiretroviral (ARV) medicine each year is an important starting point for making sure it gets into the hands of people living with HIV, reducing their viral load (the amount of HIV in a blood sample) and enabling a long and healthy life. This was a…