Supply Planning

Woman data analytics at computer in Kenya
Woman data analytics at computer in Kenya
Photo Credit: USAID Kenya
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Globally and nationally, the USAID Global Health Supply Chain Program-Procurement and Supply Management (GHSC-PSM) project uses and promotes advanced quantification methods to improve forecasts and provide suppliers and managers with more accurate information to plan their production and deliveries, which helps countries avoid stockouts and product waste through expiration. Consolidating supply chains from multiple countries also allows for bulk purchasing and drives down commodity costs.

Global Demand Forecasts

Our Plan team creates global demand forecasts for USAID’s procurement of various health commodity types based on historical information, public health indicators, market-shaping initiatives, international donor activities, and statistical modeling. Our experts monitor global consumption patterns and supply to take corrective steps in forecasting and communicating demand risks.

The Automated Requisition Tracking Management Information System (ARTMIS) has an integrated tool for optimized supply planning.

National Forecasts & Quantification

Our experts work with government agencies, public- and private-sector organizations, and other donors to improve demand forecasts using a variety of tools and data sources. This coordination helps ensure shipments are planned, scheduled, and monitored for continuity of product availability.

National quantification exercises inform international donor spending and ministry of health commodity requirements for individual countries.

Forthcoming are GHSC-PSM guidance documents and standard operating procedures for country-level forecasting and supply planning of various commodity types.

News & Highlights

News Article
August 2, 2021
A silent movement of HIV/AIDS patients takes place between the Angola-Namibia border. Some 4,000 Angolans in remote areas of the country where antiretrovirals (ARVs) are hard to come by seek and receive ARV treatment (ART) in Namibia’s Kavango East and Kavango West regions. In turn, Namibian health…
Success Stories
May 3, 2021
View the original story on the Medicines, Technologies, and Pharmaceutical Services (MTaPS) Program website. Even without the stress of a pandemic, the health supply chain management is a challenge for Bangladesh’s Directorate General of Health Services (DGHS), given its lack of an integrated…
Photo Essay
July 22, 2021
When a nurse receives a patient with symptoms of malaria, she needs to have the proper test kit and medication to diagnose and treat the patient’s illness. To ensure these supplies are available to health workers, national supply chain managers rely on timely, quality data. Getting this data…

Success Stories

July 23, 2021
View the original story on the Medicines, Technologies, and Pharmaceutical Services (MTaPS) Program website. Even without the stress of…
May 28, 2021
Liberia’s National AIDS and STI Control Program (NACP) has faced challenges around insufficient information on commodities dispensed to clients and stock status information from service delivery points. This lack of quality data to inform supply planning and distribution decision making led to…
June 3, 2021
Ensuring an uninterrupted supply of life-saving medicines is essential for people living with HIV/AIDs. Antiretroviral treatments (ART) are among the most effective methods, according to the World Health Organization, for both…